I point out this video so we can have a friendly 3-minute reminder how a bill becomes a law. This is important since last night, Nancy Pelosi managed to get her version of the health care reform bill passed through the House of Representatives through a metric shitload of arm-twisting, and then only by the skin of her teeth:
Sweeping Health Care Plan Passes HouseThe vote was 220 to 215 in the house. Remember that Democrats outnumber Republicans 258 to 177. And also remember that not a single Republican voted for the bill (
Update: One did: Rep. Cao (R-LA), who broke ranks after arm twisting from Obama on Louisiana reconstruction funds)--which, if you are into reading constitutional tea leaves means this is purely a political vote by the Democrats to placate the base. There is no way a real bill actually intended to be passed into law would be passed through a straight party vote with DNC defectors. (The political reality is that there are Republican districts whose voters want health reform--so if the intent was to actually pass this bill, there would be a non-zero GOP vote.) Because politics is local and fuzzy and unpredictable, it's clear this straight-party vote was done as a fundraiser issue rather than as a real attempt to pass health care reform.
(Reminder: "fundraiser issues" are issues for which there is strong support by members of the party, but where there is no intent at the national level to change the status quo. So, for example, abortion is a "fundraiser issue": there is no way the abortion status quo or Roe v. Wade will ever change (beyond in very small, insignificant ways)--yet the threat of overthrowing Roe v. Wade fills both DNC and GOP coffers with tons of re-election cash.)
Further, the Senate is also considering it's own version of Health Care. So unless the Senate drops the Senate Bill and adopts the newly voted-on House Bill verbatim (requiring two separate motions, one to adopt and one to pass), it is inevitable that whatever bill eventually passes the Senate (if anything does) it must go to a joint House/Senate committee to reconcile the two separate bills into a single bill. And the reconciled bill then goes
back to the House and Senate for another floor vote--and if either bill is modified in a way which doesn't match the other, we go back into the joint reconciliation committee, and around and around and around...
The Senate is of course a wild card in this: the DNC only has a 60-vote caucus that is theoretically filibuster proof because Senator Joe Lieberman (I-Conn) has chosen to caucus with the DNC. And guess who has
threatened to filibuster health care reform if it contains a public option?Naturally the one advantage of a House vote (even a straight line party vote) is that it brings us one step closer to a compromise bill. And theoretically in the reconciliation process we can move to a place where a better bill (rather than the crap being tossed around now) can be hammered out--or the shortcomings can be advertised sufficiently to allow health care reform to be stopped at little cost to the DNC, who has (thanks to Nancy Pelosi's arm twisting) has gone "all-in" with health care reform containing a public option.
If this bill ever passes it will be a marathon--and we're only passing the second mile marker.